Description

This analysis provides a forecast of LRC prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-12-15 0.140933 0.166811 0.195735 0.230406 0.270784 0.316269 0.371339
2024-12-22 0.097764 0.130101 0.170287 0.223676 0.292499 0.377959 0.491831
2024-12-29 0.076852 0.112180 0.159888 0.228526 0.324155 0.451983 0.634979
2025-01-05 0.061205 0.096639 0.147967 0.226902 0.344193 0.510753 0.763549
2025-01-12 0.049146 0.083218 0.135732 0.221360 0.355937 0.557303 0.878660
2025-01-19 0.039896 0.072020 0.124409 0.214479 0.363349 0.596738 0.986153
2025-01-26 0.034840 0.066598 0.121065 0.219198 0.388744 0.665605 1.145788
2025-02-02 0.030466 0.061461 0.117186 0.222069 0.410866 0.730964 1.306204
2025-02-09 0.026574 0.056438 0.112591 0.222734 0.428800 0.790671 1.462853
2025-02-16 0.023647 0.052715 0.109717 0.225919 0.451252 0.860021 1.642807
2025-02-23 0.021763 0.050748 0.109841 0.234660 0.484784 0.952178 1.872374
2025-03-02 0.018574 0.045411 0.102401 0.227321 0.486338 0.985425 1.996484
2025-03-09 0.016537 0.042321 0.099262 0.228579 0.505570 1.055040 2.198632
2025-03-16 0.014420 0.038651 0.094319 0.225326 0.515201 1.107128 2.372538
2025-03-23 0.013221 0.036968 0.093526 0.230999 0.544245 1.200793 2.638513
2025-03-30 0.011720 0.034225 0.089838 0.229535 0.557473 1.263169 2.846424
2025-04-06 0.010194 0.031105 0.084734 0.223971 0.560708 1.304608 3.014224
2025-04-13 0.008812 0.028093 0.079397 0.217022 0.559766 1.336689 3.164748
2025-04-20 0.008147 0.026995 0.078799 0.221796 0.587142 1.434049 3.467862
2025-04-27 0.007471 0.025728 0.077547 0.224699 0.610274 1.523982 3.762636
2025-05-04 0.006782 0.024277 0.075562 0.225372 0.627889 1.602803 4.039216
2025-05-11 0.006255 0.023237 0.074567 0.228592 0.652381 1.700189 4.368071
2025-05-18 0.005955 0.022889 0.075535 0.237429 0.692612 1.839294 4.808684